Iowa State vs Texas 10/23/2010

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Texas is a heavy favorite winning 92% of simulations over Iowa State. Garrett Gilbert is averaging 282 passing yards and 2 TDs per simulation and D.J. Monroe is projected for 62 rushing yards and a 48% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 8% of simulations where Iowa State wins, Austen Arnaud averages 1.4 TD passes vs 0.88 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.69 TDs to 1.15 interceptions. Alexander Robinson averages 83 rushing yards and 0.93 rushing TDs when Iowa State wins and 64 yards and 0.41 TDs in losses. Texas has a 34% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 97% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is TEX -22

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